May 2008

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In this Issue

Opportunities in Seniors Housing
Arbor and RealShare Present Roundtable Discussion in Dallas
Apartments Stabile, Financing a Challenge: NMHC Survey

3Remodeling Activity Remains Steady in Q1

Opportunities in Seniors Housing
By Jay Porterfield

Jay Porterfield

Jay Porterfield

Over the next 40 years or so, the percentage of the U.S. population age 55 or older is projected to increase from roughly 25% to 31.8%, according to Census Bureau numbers. The actual number of people over 55 is projected to increase by 67 million people from 2000 to 2050. Many savvy owners and developers are taking action now to benefit from this growing market segment.

While seniors housing can be defined in many different ways, for our purposes, it is multifamily rental housing for people age 55 or older that includes some level of services. Those services can range from assistance with Activities of Daily Living ("ADL"), such as meals or housekeeping, all the way up to 24-hour medical care. It may include Independent Living, Assisted Living, Alzheimer's Care, Skilled Nursing or some combination of all four. Seniors housing does not include market-rate apartments with age restrictions, but no services provided. Those properties are simply treated as conventional multifamily.

There are some outstanding lending programs for seniors housing through both Fannie Mae and FHA.

Click to read more

Jay Porterfield is a Director in Arbor's full-service Plano, TX office. He can be reached at 972-516-3824 or at jporterfield@arbor.com

Arbor and Realshare Present Roundtable Discussion in Dallas

Join Arbor and the RealShare Conference Series at an exclusive, complimentary breakfast roundtable discussion, Navigate the Capital Markets Storm with Agency Lending on June 10 at the Westin Galleria, Dallas from 7:30 AM - 11 AM.

FHA and Fannie Mae can represent a lifeline to multifamily owners, investors and developers in the throes of today's credit crunch and liquidity crisis. Learn about emerging commercial real estate trends in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and how you can capitalize on them in this challenging economy.

The morning event, which begins with networking and breakfast from 7:30-8:45 a.m., will kick off with an overall economic forecast and evaluation by nationally acclaimed economist Dr. Sam Chandan of Reis, Inc., as well as a DFW market update by Brian O'Boyle of Apartment Realty Advisors.

The roundtable will consist of Bud Malone, founder and former president of Malone Mortgage, Mike Brandenberger of D4 Development Services and Wendy Stamnas, FHA Chief Underwriter for Arbor, who will discuss how different kinds of financing structures and solutions might be the key to many deals staying above water during this unprecedented capital markets and financing lockdown.

Registration is free, but seating is limited, so REGISTER NOW. For more information, contact Lynne Viccaro at events@arbor.com, or 1.800.ARBOR.10.

Apartments Stable, Financing a Challenge: NMHC Survey

Demand for apartment homes remains strong, but the continued credit crunch is causing the volume of property sales to slow sharply and making it more difficult for apartment firms to access the debt and equity markets, according to the National Multi Housing Council's (NMHC) Quarterly Survey of Apartment Market Conditions. 

The Market Tightness Index , which measures changes in occupancy rates and/or rents, rose significantly from 33 in January to 44, as more respondents reported tighter conditions-and fewer reported looser conditions-than three months earlier. While this reading is still below 50, it is not much below, and comes on the heels of 16 consecutive quarters of over-50 readings. (For all four of the survey indexes, a reading above 50 indicates that, on balance, conditions are improving; a reading below 50 indicates that conditions are worsening; and a reading of 50 indicates that conditions are unchanged.)
It is also a sign that the "shadow market" of rental homes being offered by individuals no longer able to afford to live in them is not seriously eroding demand for professionally managed apartments.

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Source: The National Multi Housing Council, www.NMHC.org

Remodeling Activity Remains Steady in Q1

Remodeling activity remained steady during the first quarter of 2008, according to the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Remodeling Market Index (RMI). The current market conditions indicator increased to 41.8 from 40.9 in the fourth quarter, while the future expectations measure showed no change from the previous quarter at 37.9.

The RMI measures remodeler perceptions of market demand for current and future residential remodeling projects. Any number over 50 indicates that the majority of remodelers view the market conditions as improving. The RMI has been running below 50 since the final quarter of 2005.

"The remodeling market continues to show weakness, following the downturn in the overall housing market," said NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders. "We expect there to be some further erosion in 2008, with a gradual recovery in 2009."

Click to read more

For more information, go to www.nahb.org

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about arbor

about arbor

arbor solutions

Flexible. Innovative. Creative.

Arbor is a national, full-service real estate investment firm focused on executing the highest level of expertise in order to provide clients with the most expansive, creative, and flexible range of lending products in the real estate finance industry. At Arbor, employees approach business in a results-oriented, decisive manner, striving to serve its customers quickly and efficiently while offering a boutique of unique product lines that distinguishes the company from traditional lending firms.

calendar of events

calendar of events

Come see us at:

May 18-21
ICSC

May 19
NMHC Finance Forum

May 28
Real Share Boston

May 29-31
ALFA

June 9-11
CMSA Convention

June 10
Navigate the Capital Markets Storm with Agency Lending

June 10
Real Share Chicago

June 26-28
NAA Education Conference & Expo

To meet with us at any of these events, give us a call!

1-800-ARBOR-10 and ask for Ingrid Principe, Marketing Specialist, or email at iprincipe@arbor.com

contact us

contact us

Corporate Office
333 Earle Ovington Boulevard, Suite 900 Uniondale, NY 11553

1-800-ARBOR-10
moreinfo@arbor.com

Visit us online at:
www.arbor.com
www.arborrealtytrust.com

Editor
Lynne Viccaro
Assistant Vice President, Marketing
lviccaro@arbor.com

Production
Michele Ryan
mryan@arbor.com

Contributing Writers
Ingrid Principe
iprincipe@arbor.com

Kelly Maxey
kmaxey@arbor.com

 

 

 

ARBOR - Growing Financial Partnerships

www.arbor.com

 

Arbor Commercial Mortgage, LLC | 333 Earle Ovington Blvd., Suite 900 | Uniondale, New York 11553 | 1-800-878-5160

 

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