June 2008

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In this Issue

Challenging Economy Shows Underlying Resilience and Flexibility
NAHB Says Builder Confidence Edges Down In June
NMHC/NAA Seek Ruling on Section 8 Program

Challenging Economy Shows Underlying Resilience and Flexibility

During Arbor’s recent finance conference, “How to Navigate the Capital Markets Storm with Agency Lending” in Dallas on June 10, Dr. Sam Chandan, Chief Economist for Reis, Inc. outlined a number of forces that are weighing on the economy:

  • The housing market
  • The economy
  • Inflation (how we spend our money)
  • Value of the U.S. dollar
  • Increase in food and fuel prices
  • Loss of confidence in international markets (as reflected in devalued U.S. dollar)

However, he noted the underlying resilience and flexibility of the U.S. economy remains intact in the midst of most challenging adjustments.

Other stresses on the economy Dr. Chandan pointed out are:

1.       The housing market: The pool of houses for sale has changed significantly. There were more homes built than Americans can (afford to) live in.

2.       Corporate profits: While they have slowed significantly as of late, they will prevail over the next 1-2 years.

3.       Oil: Our economy is more information- and services-based rather than on manufacturing. As a result, there is reduced energy consumption.

4.       CMBS: The CMBS market has been sidelined. At its peak, almost 70 percent of all multifamily mortgages were from CMBS. As of first quarter 2008, that number has fallen to 7 percent.

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NAHB Says Builder Confidence Edges Down In June

Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes edged down in June, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). The index slipped to 18 this month, returning to the record low that was posted in December of 2007 (the series began in January of 1985).

The HMI was released today during a special teleconference held by NAHB. At that event, association CEO Jerry Howard pointed out the urgent need for Congress to pass targeted housing stimulus legislation amidst ongoing and severe weakness in the housing sector that is exerting a substantial drag on economic growth.

“Each week that goes by, another 15,000 workers are losing their jobs and 47,000 families are entering foreclosure. Home equity has fallen by $879 billion during the past year alone,” said Howard. “How many more Americans have to suffer before Congress will act?”

“Clearly, conditions in the housing market remain very weak, and our builder members are not seeing any signs of improvement,” noted NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders. “Indeed, the continuing erosion of employment and consumer confidence/sentiment coupled with surging energy costs, falling house prices and rising home mortgage foreclosures, pose considerable downside risks to the economy and our housing forecast. A targeted stimulus such as a temporary home-buyer tax credit would help turn this situation around and restore housing as an engine of economic growth."

Click to read more

Source: The National Association of Home Builders, www.NAHB.org

NMHC/NAA Seek Ruling on Section 8 Program

An alliance of apartment organizations have joined forces to file a “friend of the court” brief asking the United States Supreme Court to weigh in on whether states and localities can force property owners to participate in the federal Section 8 program by passing laws that make it illegal to deny a voucher holder based on their “source of income.” 

The effort is spearheaded by the National Multi Housing Council (NMHC) and the National Apartment Association (NAA) and the Louisville (KY) Apartment Association.  They are joined by National Leased Housing Association, the Apartment and Office Building Association of Metropolitan Washington; the Delaware Apartment Association, the Greater Lexington (KY) Apartment Association, the Mobile Bay Area Apartment Association and the New Jersey Apartment Association.

“When Congress created the Section 8 program, it explicitly made the program voluntary because it recognized that there are costs and burdens imposed on property owners who choose to participate,” said Jim Arbury, NMHC/NAA Senior Vice President of Government Affairs. “Now states and localities are trying to alter the voluntary nature of the program by passing so-called “source of income” non-discrimination laws that essentially make property owner participation mandatory.” 

Click to read more

Source: The National Multi Housing Council, www.NMHC.org

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arbor solutions

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Arbor is a national, full-service real estate investment firm focused on executing the highest level of expertise in order to provide clients with the most expansive, creative, and flexible range of lending products in the real estate finance industry. At Arbor, employees approach business in a results-oriented, decisive manner, striving to serve its customers quickly and efficiently while offering a boutique of unique product lines that distinguishes the company from traditional lending firms.

calendar of events

calendar of events

Come see us at:

June 25
Houston Property Opportunities Conference
Houston, TX

July 26-28
NAA Education Conference & Expo
Orlando, FL

July 9-10
New England ICSC Idea Exchange
Boston, MA

July 16-17
Michigan ICSC Idea Exchange
Novi, MI

July 17
MBA of NY Cocktail Party
New York, NY

July 24
21st Century Development: Building for the Future in the Midwest
Naperville, IL

To meet with us at any of these events, give us a call!

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Visit us online at:
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Editor
Lynne Viccaro
Assistant Vice President, Marketing
lviccaro@arbor.com

Production
Michele Ryan
mryan@arbor.com

Contributing Writers
Ingrid Principe
iprincipe@arbor.com

Kelly Maxey
kmaxey@arbor.com

 

 

 

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